Monday, October 27, 2008

Vote Obama: Bite the Hand That Feeds You

My roommate and employer, Michael (the "M" in WM Media), came home today from an uncharacteristically long walk. He must have had an epiphany or something, because he immediately launched into a rant about America's corporate income tax rate and how the future of said rate is highly dependent on the result of next week's Presidential election. Currently, the U.S. corporate income tax rate is the second highest among developed nations of the world. Relatively speaking, it hasn't always been "high". In fact, a significant (if not the significant) reason for America's summit to the position of "world's superpower" is because during its development, it had one of the lowest corporate tax structures in the world. That is no longer the case.

Realizing an opportunity to lure wealth back into their nations, European countries have been slashing their corporate income tax rates. As the above link shows, this decade, in particular, has seen most European nations decrease their corporate tax rates. One of John McCain's platforms is to cut the corporate tax rate to 25%, which would roughly mirror the European average. Such a reduction would largely silence "exit strategy" discussions among U.S. companies, like the one Michael had with me regarding WM Media, about relocating to a place like Ireland where the tax rate is only 12%.

Businesses relocating out of the U.S. will become more and more common under an Obama administration. While he hasn't explicitly stated an intent to increase the corporate tax rate, we have no reason to hope for a decrease. What will likely happen under Obama is surreptitious changes to tax policy aimed at increasing government revenues at the expense of companies. One way this can be done is by closing loopholes that allow companies to defer paying taxes on their overseas profits. This will send billions of dollars from outfits like Pfizer and Exxon-Mobil (both of whom have over $50 billion parked overseas) into the pockets of the government. Since an extrapolation of this will be plummeting share prices of such companies (both members of the S&P 500), Obama can't risk enacting his socialist policies in this current economic climate. Expect him to bide his time waiting for the economy to turn around. When it does, he'll have the momentum of a bull market and (presumably) a Democratic congress at his back to implement crippling economic policies to this country that could take decades to undo - if they're ever able to be undone at all.

Right now, WM Media is too small to seriously contemplate a move to Ireland. The savings from doing so would be wiped out by an increase in the cost of living, not the mention the hassle that moving overseas entails. However, it's not out of the question that the business will be making, say, $150,000 a month by 2011. With $1.8 million a year in revenues, our options are a.) pay $225,000 annually in taxes to Ireland or b.) pay $648,000 to America (calculated at 35% corporate tax rate + 1% state tax rate in Texas... state average is 4%). That's a savings of $423,000 in just one year! If you don't know much about the value of money compounded over time, spend five minutes playing with this calculator. The value of WM Media circa 2025 could literally be influenced by tens of millions of dollars depending on whether or not we relocate to Ireland. And the likelihood of whether or not we relocate to Ireland is very much hanging in the balance of this Presidential election.

Of course, to justify why we should be paying taxes to Ireland and not the IRS, we'll need to fully set up shop to a degree that includes hiring Irish workers. In other words, not only will the U.S. be missing out on the revenues generated from our business, its citizens will be missing out on job opportunities as well. If you think you work in a field that won't be impacted by this, think again. First, you might be surprised how easy it is for a company to pick up and move (nothing motivates like money!). Second, if all of the other companies are moving, the price of labor (read: American workers) will go down, meaning the energy you spend hoping for a raise will need to be replaced with hopes that your job isn't given to someone more qualified. A recent lay-off from an IT firm or a medical research company will certainly be eye-balling jobs that were previously "below them".

At the thought of American companies packing up and heading to lands of better opportunity, my friend Katy inquired, "ugh... well how will the U.S. government get money then?!" That's the whole point! They won't!

When you bite the hand that feeds you, it stops feeding you, and you starve.

Monday, October 20, 2008

Online Poker Tournaments

Online poker tournaments have become increasingly popular over the past few years in large part because of high-profile, high stakes poker games broadcast on television. Poker tournaments are competitions played by up to 1500+ players all playing the same game at the same time. Poker tournaments provide inexpensive and fun ways for beginning poker players to gain experience playing poker. Tournaments are a lot of fun to play in and offer large prizes to the winners. This article will explain the different types of tournaments to get you going.

Games Played

Although many different types of poker games are available at casinos, poker tournaments usually stick to the basic variations of poker. Tournament poker games are usually limited to: Texas Hold'em, Omaha, 7-card Stud and 5-card Stud.

How to Play in a Poker Tournament

While each tournament is slightly different, some components are consistent. In every poker tournament that you could play:

  • Players are all given the same number of tournament chips to play with.

  • All players start tournament play at the same time.

  • Tournament levels increase at regular intervals (sometimes a fixed time is given for each level of play and sometimes the playing level is increased after 10 rounds) and for every increase the ante and blinds double.

  • Players play until they run out of chips. The last player remaining ends up with all the chips and is declared the winner of the tournament.

  • After the winner is determined prize money is distributed according to the rules of the game. The very top players win the bulk of the prize money. Usually 1st place winners get about 40%, 2nd place winners get about 20% and 3rd place winners about 10%. The number of winners that share the prize depend on how many players entered as well as the game played. The amount of the prize money is set by: the number of players registered, the buy-in fee and any additional money raised selling re-buys and add-ons.

If You Missed It

I had a couple of brief appearances on ESPN's World Series of Poker last Tuesday. The most significant of these is at the beginning of this YouTube video. Overall, I'm really happy with how the episode turned out. Prior to its airing, I figured there was as much as a 35% chance that I wouldn't appear whatsoever, so the fact that I was in 3-4 different spots was more than I could have hoped for.

Even though I've mostly gotten over it, I appreciated the degree to which ESPN portrayed the unjustifiable arrogance and lack of humility of Michael Carroll on the heels of a life-changing three-outter. It gives viewers a small taste of the soul-crushing I endured sans-confidant last July. They could have experienced a much larger taste if the cameras had kept rolling through Carroll's rant about what a great player he is while he organized the 100 big blind pot.



Next time I make a deep run in a major televised tournament, I'll request a large patch for my back from the agents at Poker Royalty. No sense in failing to capitalize on the sponsorship value of the "walks away in disgust" shot. ;)

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Disregard Title of Previous Entry

Complete small blind with A4dd. Flop 532, two diamonds. I check, kid bets 1,600, guy raises to 4,000, I shove 9,000 total, kid folds, guy calls and turns over 88. Turn 3. River 3.

Can't win every 97%/3%, I suppose. At least I got those buy one get one free Pepsi's... that the housekeeping threw out in the trash while I was losing runner-runner in a $5k. ;)

At least the market is doing well.

Err..

At least my McCain bets have a lot of equity.

Err...

Nyet!

Saturday, October 11, 2008

I Knew I'd Run Hot on This Trip!

Catching up on some Office and South Park episodes in my hotel room on the eve of WSOP Circuit Indiana. Run down to the gift store and buy two 20 oz. Diet Pepsi's. It says on the label to look under the cap because "1 in 8 wins a Buy 1 Get 1 Free 20 oz.". Open up Pepsi #1... ship it! Open up Pepsi #2...

Wait for it... wait for it... wait... for... it...

SHIP IT AGAIN!!

FIST PUMP ONE IN SIXTY-FOUR FTW!!!!

Friday, October 10, 2008

Foiled By PokerPages!

I drove 45 minutes to the Houston airport, took a three hour flight to Indianapolis, rented a car, and drove two and a half hours to the Indiana side of the Ohio river across from Louisville for the WSOP Circuit event that starts tomorrow. At least I thought it started tomorrow because that's what PokerPages reported.

"Hi, where can I register for the tournament?"

"What tournament?"

"Uhh... the $5k one I guess."

"Why do you want to register for that right now?"

"Uhh... 'cause it starts in like 12 hours?"

"No it doesn't, it starts Sunday!"

Nice.

The real kicker is that I drove away from Indianapolis after turning down an invitation to join my closest friends from college at a karaoke dive bar that I really like called Nippers. "Sorry guys... can't go out tonight... gotta get down to the river for tomorrow's tournament!"

Ouch.

If anyone from PokerPages is reading this, I was going to say you could make it up to me by uploading a picture of me to my damn profile page since repeated attempts to do so myself had failed... but I guess we're on the wrong page again, because I see you've already beat me to it! ;)

Thursday, October 9, 2008

One Thing I'll Give Poker Players

I met Michael tonight at a bar called the Wild West, a large country-dancing bar in Houston. I've always found the patrons of the Wild West to be very interesting to observe. Since the focal point of the bar is a dance floor, the emphasis is on dancing. The stereotypical "Alpha Male" (or "top dog" or "stud" or however you wish to state it) of the Wild West is a strapped, square-jawed Texan with a cowboy hat, an award winning smile, and superior country dancing moves. The eye-catching women, like the highly sought-after females in almost any social setting, are curvy, blond, sexy, and complete with fabulous dance moves.

Michael and I, our lack of country-dancing skills rendering us both helplessly beta-male, lingered on the rail of the dance floor observing the action. We initiated one of countless similar conversations we've had in the past that focus on evaluating the modern-day dating scene. It's a conversation I think most women in our society would find discouraging if not downright revolting while men would likely find it either humorous or profound.

In our evaluation of the dating scene, it seems reasonable to label women as "stocks" and men as "potential investors". The long-term goal for most women is to find a husband while most of men don't have a long-term goal; they're just trying to get laid. This is the consummate conundrum in social interactions between single men and single women. As I stated to Michael tonight, "women are like tech companies trying to IPO for an obscene price in 1999, and the hoards of men lining up to buy are in for a letdown... unless they manage to sell right away [read: not get married]"

But talking about why marriage is generally an overpriced proposition for men and a sweet deal for women is (not only obvious, but) another entry for another day. What I wanted to say in this entry is that one of the things I like about poker players (the winning ones, anyway) is that based on my interactions with them, they seem more capable of putting emotions to the side in order to see things for their face value. In other words, they probably wouldn't object to the above quote that concluded the last paragraph.

I don't think people are usually quick to understand that in the same way stocks, houses, and cars can be evaluated both too high and too low, so too can romantic partners. However, I presume that many poker players I know (Mike McDonald, Ray Coburn, Shane Schleger, and Thayer Rasmussen, just to name a few) are capable of realizing this. And what enables them to do so is what makes them great poker players: the ability to evaluate their current reality in a calculative manner mostly free from the distraction of socially-programmed emotions. I believe it is these emotions that lead people to think a marriage contract will increase their value as an individual. It is no wonder unhappiness is a common byproduct of such an agreement.

Kudos to poker players for staying ahead of the curve. I suppose a relatively easy lifestyle is their reward.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Sundayyy!

Nothing special here. Just decided to bury all those WSOP Europe entries.

It's Sunday and my Bodog account is robusto from fading the Cubs. You know what that means... sportsbetting and poker!!

Here are the bets I've got going for 1pm ET games:

2 dimes on:

Texans +4
Dolphins +7

1 dime on:

Redskins +7
Chiefs +10

Nickel on:

Brewers -100

The poker should be fun today. Bodog has a $500 buy-in $300k guarantee that starts you with 10,000 chips and 20 minute levels (I wonder if the first level will be 5/10? lol). I'm a little broke on my poker accounts, so I might skip some of the $100 rebuys and just stick with all the $215 freezeouts.

Here's to being rich by bedtime!

-----------

Well that first slate of games was going pretty well until the Texans blew a 17 point lead with less than 5 minutes left to lose by 4 (pushed on the bet).

4pm ET games:

3 dimes on:

Bengals +17

1 dime on:

49ers +3

So long as I'm doing real-time updates of the day so far: getting close to ITM in the Sunday Warm-Up... but kinda shortish, so bubbling still totally possible.